Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.218184 1.493031 1.851619 2.371310 3.138542 4.293031 6.313573
2025-11-02 0.876137 1.176157 1.630878 2.432461 3.985506 7.438870 19.032277
2025-11-09 0.714087 1.016025 1.522002 2.553448 5.076584 13.634282 107.168708
2025-11-16 0.599446 0.885021 1.396206 2.550936 5.951736 23.644134 26456.052396
2025-11-23 0.511526 0.773474 1.263260 2.451539 6.483820 38.252436 NaN
2025-11-30 0.465306 0.723060 1.230119 2.572311 8.079610 102.240113 NaN
2025-12-07 0.421163 0.667006 1.168346 2.583784 9.365751 337.818889 NaN
2025-12-14 0.380268 0.609906 1.089711 2.506592 10.136156 1730.210134 NaN
2025-12-21 0.349249 0.567150 1.033523 2.475164 11.292317 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.336731 0.558869 1.055129 2.724494 16.005459 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.320015 0.539371 1.044744 2.856045 20.932794 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.299954 0.510189 1.003555 2.842276 24.284573 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.278429 0.476067 0.944844 2.732630 25.742022 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.265055 0.458160 0.926510 2.802658 33.217773 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.255192 0.446723 0.923579 2.951026 48.508570 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.242326 0.427157 0.894062 2.947712 60.236151 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.227920 0.402784 0.846868 2.824918 63.043813 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.221086 0.394973 0.846820 2.974130 103.795571 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.211939 0.380936 0.825791 2.988343 143.270790 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.201460 0.362942 0.790132 2.892838 159.440905 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.192924 0.348873 0.764760 2.854041 202.554226 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.190980 0.350167 0.787582 3.163205 967.544732 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.186511 0.344978 0.788832 3.327573 11823.619091 NaN NaN